灾害应急反应建模与仿真

为了满足多智能体应急反应仿真的需求,首先对构建多智能体应急反应仿真模拟框架的复杂性进行了分析,在此基础上提出并设计了组件式仿真模拟框架.采用本体(Ontology)建模、语义网模型及产生式规则推理等理论方法构建了仿真模拟框架的场景建模模块、人员Agent建模模块等组件.最后对依照上述研究内容所开发的原型系统进行了测试,对测试结果进行了分析,结果表明该框架能够有效满足多智能体应急反应仿真的建模需求.     

Dual sourcing: Responsive hedging against correlated supply and demand uncertainty

This article analyzes dual sourcing decisions under stochastically dependent supply and demand uncertainty. A manufacturer faces the trade‐off between investing in unreliable but high‐margin offshore supply and in reliable but low‐margin local supply, where the latter allows for production that is responsively contingent on the actual demand and offshore supply conditions. Cost thresholds for both types of supply determine the optimal resource allocation: single offshore sourcing, single responsive sourcing, or dual sourcing. Relying on the concept of concordance orders, we study the effects of correlation between supply and demand uncertainty. Adding offshore supply to the sourcing portfolio becomes more favorable under positive correlation, since offshore supply is likely to satisfy demand when needed. Selecting responsive capacity under correlated supply and demand uncertainty is not as straightforward, yet we establish the managerially relevant conditions under which responsive capacity either gains or loses in importance. Our key results are extended to the broad class of endogenous supply uncertainty developed by Dada et al. [Manufact Serv Operat Mange 9 (2007), 9–32].© 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

基于能量度量的星载AIS信号自适应码元同步抽取算法

基带信号码元同步抽取是目前星载AIS(Automatic Identification System)信号处理中的一个难点问题,针对过零检测和迟门早门等现有算法存在的不足,提出了基于能量度量的基带信号自适应码元同步抽取算法。将基带信号根据采样率和码速率的比值分割成相同的段的组合,之后分别计算每个段内相应样点的能量度量,最后选择使能量度量最大时的样点集作为最优同步抽取样点,该样点集具有最大信噪比。仿真结果验证了该算法误码率优于过零检测和迟门早门算法。     

Screening and selection procedures with control variates and correlation induction techniques

We consider the problem of identifying the simulated system with the best expected performance measure when the number of alternatives is finite and small (often < 500). Recently, more research efforts in the simulation community have been directed to develop ranking and selection (R&S) procedures capable of exploiting variance reduction techniques (especially the control variates). In this article, we propose new R&S procedures that can jointly use control variates and correlation induction techniques (including antithetic variates and Latin hypercube sampling). Empirical results and a realistic illustration show that the proposed procedures outperform the conventional procedures using sample means or control variates alone. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

恒压变频控制设备在消防水灭火系统中的应用

分析了传统消防水灭火系统存在易锈死难改造等问题,介绍了恒压变频供水系统的基本工作原理和设计思路,论证了恒压变频供水系统在消防水灭火系统中应用的可行性,研究了将恒压变频控制设备应用到消防水灭火系统中应注意的几个问题,为改进消防水灭火系统提供了又一方法。     

航站楼消防设计若干问题探讨

消防设计的合理性对于航站楼安全运行具有重要意义。目前,国内尚未出台航站楼设计防火规范,因此,航站楼消防设计还处于探索和积累经验的阶段。介绍了航站楼消防设计四个阶段、重要设计难点,结合工程实际问题,对消防设计思路系统化进行了梳理,力图为设计者提供少许帮助。     

起重机吊重摆角的产生机理与动态仿真研究

针对吊重二自由度摆角非线性动力学模型,研究了起重机吊重摆角的产生机理和摆角的影响因素。起重机小车和大车同时做加（减）速的复合运动时,产生吊重二自由度摆角,摆角的大小受起升绳长度和小车运行加（减）速度大小的影响。动态仿真表明：小车运行加（减）速度对摆角的影响比绳长度显著;小车起动和制动时,吊重做受迫摆动;当小车加（减）速度增大l倍时,吊重摆角约增大0．12rad,摆速约增大0．164rad／s;当绳长度增加2m时,摆角和摆速无明显变化,吊重自由摆动的周期约增加1．3s。     

防空反导网络化作战发展研究

网络中心战是信息时代重要的作战形式,可将战场信息优势转化为决策优势,是信息技术在军事领域应用的必然选择,网络中心战在防空反导领域的应用也称为防空反导网络化作战.主要跟踪研究了国内外网络中心战的最新进展和发展趋势,分析了网络化作战的特点和关键技术,针对我国防空反导武器系统的现状,提出了防空反导网络化作战的发展建议.     

弹载星敏感器应用方案比较研究

简述了弹载星敏感器几种应用方案的原理,从视场大小、导航星等、观星方式、像元分辨率、三轴姿态精度、动态性能、惯性基准误差分离等方面分析、比较了各种方案的优缺点.除平台方案外,捷联星图方案和单(双)星方案的技术参数相当,动态性能均有待提高.星图方案较单(双)星方案在2个方面占优势:一是星图方案不要求调整星敏感器光轴对准导航星,星跟踪算法等技术能快速识别星图;二是星图方案可同时、连续观测6～8颗星,解算出弹体三轴姿态,可以采用先进的滤波技术准确地分离惯性基准误差.     

中国传统战争哲学理念的近代嬗变

近代以来,在西方列强坚船利炮的重创之下,中华民族在军事上接连失败。在严酷的现实面前,中华民族流传两千多年的传统战争哲学理念,受到了前所未有的挑战。在近代战争的冲击下,中国传统战争哲学理念开始了缓慢的嬗变历程。主要表现为三点：“避战求和”理念的破产与激变;“义战必胜”理念的质疑与超越;“道器合一”理念的背离与回归。